March Madness Bracket Tips and Strategy for Winning Your Pool
If you hold not been paying attending to college hoops this season, or you’re filling come out a Mar Madness angle bracket for the 1st time, and then we experience some general tips and advice if you’re participating inwards a betting pocket billiards for the 2023 NCAA men’s college basketball game tournament.
First of all, the 2022-23 flavour has been absolutely bonkers. There’s some undecomposed teams, but non a dominant squad ilk in past tense years. Only 2 teams on DraftKings’ college basketball betting table experience betting odds that are less than 10-to-1.
The Houston Cougars (31-3), i of the quatern #1 seeds, are the consensus favourite to win the 2023 March Madness championship at +450 odds. Camellia State (29-5) also earned a #1 seed, and the Crimson Tide is +650 odds to win the championship.
Purdue (29-5) is another #1 seed, but only +1000 odds to win the title. UCLA (29-5) is also +1000 odds, but they’re a #2 seed despite beingness the second-overall ranked team by Ken Pomeroy.
Kansas (27-7) is the quaternary #1 seed. The Jayhawks won the championship endure year, and they’re +1200 betting odds to win March Madness inwards back-to-back years.
In the modern era, it’s rarefied to win serial college hoops championships. FL is the utmost team up to root for away the exploit with victories inwards 2006 and 2007. Aside from that, you get to flashback to Duke’s back-to-back championships inwards 1991 and 1992. UCLA dominated the college basketball game landscape painting over l years ago when they won VII titles inward a row betwixt 1967 and 1973 below legendary top dog manager John Wooden.
Have Fun
March Madness pools are play because anyone can win it. These betting pools are societal affairs, so everyone tin collectively get together inwards on the play for a relatively depression cost point. Keep an eyeball come out for freerolls and promotions this week. BetMGM is offering $10 million to anyone with a hone bracket.
These days, March Madness has turn a spectacle case that’s not just now a one-night occasion the likes of the Super Bowl. March Madness is distribute out o'er terzetto weeks, so you make a prolonged sudate piece watching the tourney swordplay out.
Everyone has in use(p) and hectic lives with folk and work, but at least there’s a match of weeks every March when you tin can reconnect with old classmates, pucker to take in games with family, or experience a special schmoose thread where you tin can trash talk and give-and-take with friends. Pools are also a outstanding soldering activity for your coworkers.
In 2016, my friend’s six-year-old girl won our pocket billiards because she loves animals and made her Mar Madness picks based on creature mascots. She had an affinity for cat teams and got the shoemaker's last express mirth when Villanova won the championship that year.
My Aunt Henrietta is a devout Catholic, and she always picks Catholic colleges and universities. Aunt Henrietta won our pool in 2018 when Villanova was winning inward the championship game, but she also picked Loyola Windy City to cash advance to the Final Four. That was the twelvemonth when Loyola Chicago went on a Cinderella pass as the #11 seed thanks to their undecomposed fortune tempt and super fan, Sister Jean, a 98-year-old nun and the team’s former chaplain.
Work Backwards
Pick your fighter first, and then find the 2 teams inwards the championship gritty before you enter out which teams are sledding to the Final Four. If you get into multiple sheets, try to motley different winners and Final Four teams.
Next up is the Elite 8, and those net octet teams canful make believe or break up your bracket. If you’re in a large-sized pool, you should purpose for a hone eight-for-eight inward aright picking the Elite 8 teams.
Keep moving backwards and plectrum the Henry Sweet 16 teams. Your end is to right hazard at to the lowest degree a dozen teams. If you canful let 14 or more, and then you’ll in all likelihood follow near the spinning top of the leaderboard in your pool.
The Henry Sweet 16 is your topper chance to merged a potency Cinderella story. But beware, the Henry Sweet 16 is the round when those lower-seeded upsets spell to die. It’s non marvelous for a double-digit seed to pull off an derangement inward the Round of 64, but it’s difficult to win a second overturn inwards the Round of 32 within a three-day span.
Pool Size Matters
Before you move into a pool, bump out the estimated size. If you’re in a massive pool with 1,000 or to a greater extent entries, and so look at entering multiple brackets to step-up your chances of winning. You could right plectrum the rightfulness schooling to win the tournament, but so will a lot of other entries, which substance you’ll get to right hazard all Little Joe Final Four teams.
In gigantic pools, that innocuous first-round overthrow could signify the difference between winning or missing the money. You’ll hold to make up a match of risky picks and accurately dead reckoning which #12 seed or higher testament win a game or two.
If you’re inward a small pocket billiards that’s to a lesser extent than 25 entrants, and so you put up remain conservative with your picks, and endeavor to win the pocket billiards with a bingle entry.
Know Your Enemy
Make trusted you know who is hosting the pool, and seek to enter come out who else is playing. Once you tin can find everyone’s allegiances, and so you can buoy cull accordingly.
If you’re participating in an office puddle based out of Windy City that has a lot of Northwestern grads, then you can buoy foresee an uptick in entries this year where Northwestern goes deep. Even though UCLA had the #11 seed inward 2021, a lot of friends from Los Angeles inwards my pool picked the Bruins to take a leak it to the Final Four that year.
My pool tends to have a lot of Bluegrass State fans and graduates, and many friends from Seattle feature a regional allegiance to Gonzaga. I cognize going into Mach Madness every twelvemonth that there’ll follow a warm segment of sheets with Bluegrass State and Gonzaga as the champion. If I determine if I require to cull either school, so I’ll have got to await I won’t live the only mortal who backed that team. I’ll get to create sure the reside of my accounting entry is tight with a hone Final Four and potentially all viii Elite 8 teams.
Don’t Fall in Love with Cinderella
It’s playfulness to theme for an underdog, and as a bettor, you tin encouragement your roll by backing the right on Cinderella squad to create a late run. However, unity of the best tips i ever got inwards March Madness is to not come inwards erotic love win Cinderella and wait them to win the championship or move beyond the Elite 8.
Cinderella teams the likes of George III George Mason inward 2009, VCU in 2011, and Loyola Chicago in 2018 busted a lot of brackets in the years they got hot. All trio teams forward-looking to the Final Four, but and then ran out of gaseous state and none of them made it to the title game.
As practically as the media loves to force the tale of a Cinderella team, they make out non materialize every year. And when they ut appear, you’ll have got to pee the right on phone call on when it’s officially Midnight and there’s dreaming ladder is over.
Chalk and the #1 Seeds
Chalk is betting full term for pick the favorite. If you manage not conform to college basketball, it’s wanton to rely on the seeding to get a conclusion in your bracket out past picking the team up with the improve seed.
In the years where there’s a lot of upsets, pick a lot of chalk will be your downfall. In a twelvemonth when the favorites prevail, the chalk-heavy sheets will arise to the top.
You require to avoid picking all #1 seeds as your Final Four teams. It’s wise to get unity or two, but pee sure you include a #2 or #3 seed, and and then you put up submit a flier on a take down seed.
Since 1982, a #1 seed won Mar Madness 26 times. Since 2000, a #1 seed won the title 116 times. a #1 seed won the title cinque years inward a row.
The 1985 Villanova team up is the only #8 seed to win Mar Madness, and they’re the lowest seed to win the championship.
If you’re intellection nigh picking a pair of #1 seeds inwards the championship game, it’s not a vulgar outcome. The championship gamey featured two #1 seeds on only when ix occasions since 1979. However, it happened trey times inwards the lowest septenary tournaments including 2015, 2017, and 2021.
Picking an Upset: #12 vs. #5
At this point, it’s vulgar knowledge and ane of the to the highest degree pop Mar Madness tips that a #12 seed will cease up upsetting a #5 seed. Since the March Madness field expanded to 64 teams inward 1985, the #12 seeds are 53-95 boilers suit and experience roughly a 36% success rate.
Since 2000, a #12 seed did not win a single biz only if quaternion times (in 2000, 2007, 2015, and 2018).
This year’s #12 seeds are Oral Oral Roberts (30-4), VCU (27-7), Francis Drake (27-7), and Charleston (31-3).
Don’t Overlook #11, #13, and #14 Seeds
In recent years, the #11 seed has been a popular patch for a Cinderella team. Since 2006, quaternion #11 seeds innovative to the Final Four including George III Alfred Edward Woodley Mason (2006), VCU (2011), Loyola Chicago (2018), and UCLA (2021).
In 2021, a couple of #13 seeds busted brackets when Second Earl of Guilford TX and Buckeye State went on a magical run. In 2018, Marshall and Buffalo pulled away first-round upsets as a #13 seed.
Since the Mar Madness field of operation expanded to 64 teams inward 1985, 31 different #13 seeds pulled away an discomfit o'er a #4 seed. Those overlooked #13 seeds make a 31-113 boilers suit record book with a 21.5% success rate. Since 2008, the #13 seed pulled cancelled an opening-round overthrow 13 times.
The #14 seed ambushed a #3 seed on 22 occasions. It happened sixer times inwards the endure ennead tournaments since #14 John Harvard was a double-digit underdog and picked cancelled #3 New Mexico inwards 2013. Abilene Christian was the lastly #14 seed to triumph support inward 2021. In 2015, a pair of #14 seed busted brackets when GA State and UAB both discomfit #3 seeds.
Live and Die past the Trey
Offenses hold opened upwards inwards college basketball, and many teams rely on 3-point shot to cater the mass of their offense. The 3-point shooter also allows teams that shine behind betimes to get plunk for into the game. Upsets often fall out inwards March Madness when littler schools get hot from beyond the arc and break up off a team from a power conference.
Colgate leads all NCAA Division 1 schools with a 40.7% success grade from 3-point range. Newmarket State is third boilers suit at 40.1%, and Beehive State State is ranked #4 at 39.8%.
Other trey-happy teams to look on include Florida Atlantic, Howard, and UNC Asheville.
UNC Asheville earned a #15 seed this year, and they were ranked #8 overall inwards 3-point shooting at 39%. Howard has the #16 seed, but they’re an elite group 3-point shot team up at 38%. Everglade State Atlantic is getting a lot of attending as a #9 seed this year, because they germinate 38% from downtown and had a duet games inwards which they shaft the lights out.
Free Throws: Bane of Your Existence
Nothing tilts hoops bettors faster than missed discharge throws. Mar Madness games make such a small elbow room for error that missed unloosen throws in grind clip often find the outcome of games.
Villanova led the land inwards free-throw shot at 82.3%. Miami (Florida) is ranked #10 at 78%. Oral Kenneth Roberts is ranked #14 at 77.6%, and Beehive State State is ranked #21 at 77%.
Colgate is a weird squad because they’re the topper 3-point shot squad inwards the country, in time they struggle from the brotherly love streak at 65%, and ranked #326 inward Division 1.
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